How about some football to go with your Thanksgiving dinner? The NFL has a triple header on the deck for the Thursday holiday and features a slew of playoff hopefuls and Super Bowl threats. In fact, the .650 hitting percentage among these teams issince the league has expanded to three games on Thanksgiving. Five of the six teams that play on Thanksgiving also possess a winning record, which ties a league record.
As we do every week for the entire list, we’ve rounded up all the best Thanksgiving picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine and put them all in one place, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts plus additional featured content for every game, including plays from SportsLine’s top experts and the SportsLine projection model, our staff’s best bets, survivor picks, and more.
All NFL Odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
What choices can you confidently make in week 12? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Visit SportsLine, as their incredible model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is nearly live $7,000 for $100 players on top picks in the NFL since its inception.
Times: Thursday, 12:30 pm ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ (click here)
To open: Bill’s-10
Current: -9.5 by Bill
Featured game | Detroit Lions versus Buffalo Bills
“This has the makings of a game with a lot of offense. Both teams can score, but the Bills can really score. They’ll hit big here as Josh Allen wins a second straight game in Detroit after beating the Browns last week in the same building. The track is fast and the Bills can fly. The Lions won’t keep up.” —he has Bills covering the 9.5 point spread and this game is well over the 54.5 point total.
“The Lions have shot the last few weeks, but I’m having a hard time betting against Josh Allen with this line in double digits. Yes, Detroit’s defense has played better in the previous three games, but that was against the Packers, Bears and Giants. Buffalo’s offense is completely different. Allen has historically played well on Thanksgiving as the Bills are 2-0 SU in both games and the QB has recorded over 100 passers in each contest. Although I believe the offense of Buffalo can get into the 30s indoors at Ford Field, I don’t see the Lions doing that against this backdrop. Specifically, I have my doubts because of the protection in front of Jared Goff. Detroit is ranked the 24th team ranked for pass blocking in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. Meanwhile, Buffalo is the third-best pass rushing team in the league under the same ranking system.” —on why he takes the -9.5 Bills as one of his best bets for week 12.
“Allen has actually only crossed this line once in the last four games, but I think he hit the Over here against bad defense. The star quarterback is averaging 293 passing yards per game this season.” —on why Josh Allen likes OVER his 281.5-yard passing prop at -127.
“On paper, it looks like a game the Lions have no chance of winning, but if I’ve learned one thing in my life about picking NFL games, it’s that teams always seem to win when you think they have no chance of winning.” I have no idea what Dan Campbell eats at his house on Thanksgiving, but there’s a 50% chance it’s kneecaps.
“The big problem in this game for the Lions is that they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL this year and they will play a Bills offense that was one of the best. The Lions have given up the most yards per game and the most of points per game and that’s definitely not a good combination when the team you’re playing with ranks second in both points scored and yards per game.
“If this game had been played four weeks ago, I probably would have singled the Bills for 30, but the Lions are suddenly one of the hottest teams in football. If you combine that with the fact that the Bills have been slightly struggling offensively, this is the recipe for a game that could go all the way. I told you we were going to talk about recipes.” —on why he’s picking the Bills to narrowly beat the Lions, 30-27.
Times: Thursday, 4:30 PM ET (Fox), stream on fuboTV (try for free)
To open: Cowboy-7
Featured game | Dallas Cowboys vs. Giants of New York
“This has the makings of a Cowboys rout, almost identically to Dallas’ 40-3 win over Minnesota just days ago. New York showed some cracks in its foundation in the loss to Detroit and lost several key contributors, including top cornerback Adoree” Jackson. That should allow the Cowboys offense to keep humming along, but it’s their defense that could really put the game away. The Giants are allowing the second-highest pressure rate (45%) in the NFL this season, while the Cowboys are putting the most pressure on opposing quarterbacks in the league. In Week 3, Dallas pressured Daniel Jones 27 times in the win, which is their third game this season. playing at a championship level, they’ll win by double digits.” —on why he’s bringing Dallas to cover New York as one of his five locks of the week.
The SportsLine projection model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season with a staggering 155-109 run on top-ranked NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. Now, the model is looking at a six-legged Thanksgiving parlay that would pay nearly 50-1. One of those legs is the 45-plus point total in the Cowboys-Giants game. For the rest, you’ll have to go to SportsLine.
“When these two teams met in Week 3, the Cowboys won 23-16 and that was with Cooper Rush. In that game, the Cowboys sacked Daniel Jones five times and struck him out once and I think we’ll see if that’s the case. more than the same Thursday.The Cowboys have won 10 of their last 11 games in this series and I don’t see the dominance ending this week.
“This is the first time these two teams have played Thanksgiving since 1992. Thirty years ago, the Cowboys destroyed the Giants 30-3 and then won the Super Bowl two months later. year, but I don’t say it”. —on why they like the Cowboys beat the Giants, 31-17.
“The Giants are coming off a horrible performance at home against the Lions which means they could have looked ahead to this. The Cowboys patched things up in their win over the Vikings. The defense dominated and will dominate here as well. I Giants are too limited on offense.” —says the Cowboys’ defense will once again lead them to victory.
Broncos to Titans
Times: Thursday, 8:20 PM ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV (try for free)
To open: Vikings-3.5
Featured game | Minnesota Vikings vs. New England Patriots
The SportsLine projection model simulated NFL Thanksgiving Day games 10,000 times and looked at the dozens of player props from Caesars Sportsbook. We can tell you that the model says Vikings WR Jefferson goes over 88.5 receiving yards (-117), with the model throwing an average of 99. However, the model also says that another star flies over his yardage total and offers a prop with an extra win. To see what they are, check out SportsLine.
“Now, this is the most intriguing Thanksgiving game for me. Last time the Patriots played Thanksgiving, they beat the New York Jets 49-19 in the “Butt Fumble” matchup. Speaking of beating the Jets, that’s which the Patriots did last week on an 84-yard punt return touchdown with just five seconds left in the fourth quarter. They looked like the better team all afternoon, but it took a long time to show it. I thought Mac Jones was fine. He completed 23 of 27 passes for 246 yards, which is the highest completion percentage Jones had this season (85.2%). The wind played a role in this matchup, but the defense is They sacked Zach Wilson four times and only allowed 103 yards of total offense! In the league table of teams competing for wild card spots in the AFC, I actually have the Patriots at #2. how did they do the Last year.
“As for the Vikings, yes, it will take time to get over that 40-3 loss to the Cowboys. However, they can take a page out of the Cowboys book and force everyone to forget about it with a commanding Thanksgiving win. With Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson, I can’t help but be impressed with New England’s defense This unit has allowed just 7.7 points per game in their last three games and is allowing a 19% conversion rate on third downs during same period. The Patriots hold the second-highest pressure rate in the NFL this season, while the Vikings allow the fifth-highest pressure rate. I will say that of the three Thanksgiving contests, I’m the least confident about this one when it comes to pick a side. I’m going to take the Patriots to surprise here, and I like the Over.” —is smelling a Minnesota upset as the SU Patriots beat the Vikings in the Thanksgiving Final, also reaching the Over.
RJ White, fantasy and gambling editor for CBS Sports, is consistently crushed as SportsLine’s #1. 1 NFL pundit. In addition to owning a 445-378-24 in his ATS draft picks from 2017-21, he has been especially sharp when it comes to the Vikings. In his last 84 picks involving Minnesota, White went 52-28-4 (+$2,053), so you’ll definitely want to know where he’s leaning on Thursday night. To see that pick, head to SportsLine.
“The Vikings were embarrassed at home Sunday, having been blown away by the Cowboys. They will bounce back and play better here. New England’s offense is struggling, but the defense is playing well. Even so, I think the Vikings will respond on offense in this to win it. The Patriots offense is bad.” —on why he’s leading the Vikings to beat New England by 10 in the Thanksgiving Final.