Opinion: Equity markets will fall another 40% as severe stagflationary debt crisis hits an over-indebted global economy

NEW YORK (Project Syndicate) —For a year I have argued that rising inflation is persistent, that its causes include not only bad policies but negative supply shocks, and that attempts by central banks to counter it would cause a hard landing economic. When the recession arrives, I warn, it will be severe and prolonged, with … Read more

Stocks and bonds are “discounting for disaster” after the worst time for investors in 20 years

Things could always get worse. The S&P 500 SPX Index, -1.51% Friday consolidated its worst monthly percentage drop since the March 2020 pandemic freezes, but also joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -1.71% and Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -1.51% in booking the worst 9-month period since 2002, according to Dow Jones Market Data. “The … Read more

Dow drops 500 points on Friday as shares post third consecutive quarterly loss, setting new lows for 2022

U.S. equities fell sharply on Friday, with major indices hitting their lows since 2020 and posting a third consecutive quarterly decline as investors became more fearful that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes will bring the bearish economy in an attempt to repress inflation. what is happening The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -1.71% … Read more

UK bond market chaos disrupts Treasury debt auctions as volatility bleeds across borders

The chaos in the UK government bond market impacted global markets in several ways, but in the US it initially pushed Treasury bond yields up in solidarity, while increasing the cost at which the Treasury US has financed nearly $ 90 billion in debt. On Monday, an auction of $ 43 billion of 2-year Treasuries … Read more

Why a rising 10-year Treasury yield is disrupting financial markets as it approaches 4%

The 10-year Treasury yield, a vital benchmark that influences a wide range of consumer financing costs, is about to hit 4% for the first time in at least 12 years, a development that is starting to take hold in financial markets. The rate TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.986% It climbed to 3.988% on Tuesday, more than double from … Read more

Opinion: reset your retirement calculator now for today’s hovering stock markets and make sure you’re still on track

When the markets are down, you don’t want to look at your 401 (k) statement. But with a potential “lost decade” of equity returns looming, you need to at least take a look, because it’s time to realize your ability to afford retirement. Economists often point out that stock markets always go up eventually, but … Read more

This “one big predictor of future stock market returns” has fallen sharply — and that’s a bullish sign.

CHAPEL HILL, NC – Much of the bull market excesses have been eliminated, according to the “Single Greatest Predictor of Future Stock Market Returns”. And this is good news. I am referring to the indicator, first proposed by the Philosophical Economics blog in 2013, which is based on the portfolio allocation of an average family … Read more

US equities close lower, on track for a weekly loss, in the wake of Fed rate hike and Powell’s speech

US equities closed lower on Thursday after attempting to recoup losses on Wednesday as Treasury and dollar yields rose further after the Federal Reserve made a third huge interest rate hike and signaled that it will follow. other. what happened The industry average of the Dow Jones DJIA finished 107.10 points down, or 0.4%, at … Read more

The Dow Tumbled 500 Points Because Jerome Powell’s Fed “Won’t Blink”

Stock market investors took a while to make a decision, but when the closing bell rang Wednesday it was clear that they didn’t like what they had heard from the Federal Reserve and its chairman Jerome Powell. See: The Fed approves the third major interest rate hike and reports others before the end of the … Read more

Equities end the session unstable with gains as investors await the Fed’s decision

US equities found support in the final hour of trading on Monday after swinging between gains and losses as investors braced for a Federal Reserve meeting that should deliver another big interest rate hike and shed further light. on the central bank’s plans for monetary policy. politics. what happened The industry average of the Dow … Read more